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Trajectories of Change in Crop-Livestock Systems

How will the Kenyan main crops and livestock granary look like in 2025? Will it still be dominated by smallholders using little external inputs or will the more market-oriented high-inputs systems have progressed substantially? These are the types of questions. That this project is trying to answer, using advanced techniques and new methodologies. On crop-livestock systems change modeling, combining GIS (spatial). Or so-called storylines, each representing a possible development path.

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How will the Kenyan main crops and livestock granary look like in 2025? Will it still be dominated by smallholders using little external inputs or will the more market-oriented high-inputs systems have progressed substantially? These are the types of questions. That this project is trying to answer, using advanced techniques and new methodologies. On crop-livestock systems change modeling, combining GIS (spatial). Or so-called storylines, each representing a possible development path.
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Trajectories of Change in Crop-Livestock Systems | trajectories.org Reviews

https://trajectories.org

How will the Kenyan main crops and livestock granary look like in 2025? Will it still be dominated by smallholders using little external inputs or will the more market-oriented high-inputs systems have progressed substantially? These are the types of questions. That this project is trying to answer, using advanced techniques and new methodologies. On crop-livestock systems change modeling, combining GIS (spatial). Or so-called storylines, each representing a possible development path.

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Trajectories of Change in Crop-Livestock Systems

http://www.trajectories.org/scenarios.asp

Main forcing drivers of change under different scenarios. Rural growth rates differ across scenario with a negative growth rate in the equitable scenario in the assumption of out-migration (from rural to urban areas). Rural growth rate in the baseline scenario is calculated as the observed average rural growth rates while for the rural growth rate for the inequitable scenario is the average of the rates in the two other scenarios. Rural growth rate=0.7. Rural growth rate=-0.6. Rural growth rate=0.1.

2

Trajectories of Change in Crop Livestock Systems :: Trajectories of change in Crop-Livestock Systems

http://www.trajectories.org/toc_clsystems.asp

Trajectories of change in Crop-Livestock Systems. One of the main objectives of the study was to identify patterns of systems evolution and trajectories of change in crop-ruminant systems. Under the different scenarios, different patterns of change were identified. The most common pathways were:. Export cash crop farming with limited dairy activities to intensified farmers with limited dairy activities. Export cash crop farming with limited dairy to non-agricultural activities.

3

Trajectories of Change in Crop-Livestock Systems:: Issues

http://www.trajectories.org/issues.asp

The demand for livestock products in developing countries is projected to expand very rapidly to 2020 (Delgado et al., 1999). This demand-led expansion offers considerable opportunities for poverty alleviation through income generation if smallholder mixed crop-livestock producers can effectively compete in these new markets. It may also create conditions that favour large-scale and industrial production to the disadvantage of small resource-poor producers. Detailed spatially referenced household data se...

4

Trajectories of Change in Crop-Livestock Systems

http://www.trajectories.org/datasets.asp

Household data were obtained from three surveys conducted in central and western Kenya between 1996 and 2000, as part of an effort to characterize smallholder dairy systems through the Smallholder Dairy Project, by a collaborative team from the Ministry of Livestock Development and Fisheries, the Kenya Agricultural Research Institute (KARI), and the International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI). Either existing (like climatic characteristics) or generated by the project (market access measures).

5

Trajectories of Change in Crop-Livestock Systems

http://www.trajectories.org/index.asp

How will the Kenyan main crops and livestock granary look like in 2025? Will it still be dominated by smallholders using little external inputs or will the more market-oriented high-inputs systems have progressed substantially? These are the types of questions. That this project is trying to answer, using advanced techniques and new methodologies. On crop-livestock systems change modeling, combining GIS (spatial). Or so-called storylines, each representing a possible development path.

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Trajectories of Change in Crop-Livestock Systems

How will the Kenyan main crops and livestock granary look like in 2025? Will it still be dominated by smallholders using little external inputs or will the more market-oriented high-inputs systems have progressed substantially? These are the types of questions. That this project is trying to answer, using advanced techniques and new methodologies. On crop-livestock systems change modeling, combining GIS (spatial). Or so-called storylines, each representing a possible development path.

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